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View Miami Heat at 29¢ on Novig ↗See the gap with Pro
View Golden State Warriors at 72¢ on Novig ↗
NBA · 10:00 PM ET
Miami Heat @ Golden State Warriors
Miami Heat: On a back-to-backMiami Heat: 3rd game in 4 nightsGolden State Warriors: rested, opponent on a back-to-backGolden State Warriors: Opponent: 3rd game in 4 nights
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Which side is the value bet? Pro shows the team that's underpriced on this game, the exchange with the best price, the most to pay, and a button straight to it.
See the bet with Pro?New here? How to read this gameShowHide
- The bet (how to read a pick)
- Every suggested bet shows the team to back, the exchange to use, the most to pay, and a button that opens that exact game. Pay that price or less; above it, the value may be gone.
- Fair price (fair %)
- The chance a team wins according to the sharpest sportsbook line we can get (Pinnacle when posted, otherwise DraftKings), with the book's built-in cut removed. Buying below the fair price is buying at a discount.
- Example: Fair 55% and the exchange sells the team at 50¢: you're paying 50¢ for something worth about 55¢.
- Gap in points (+3.5)
- How many cents per $1 cheaper the team is than its fair price, after fees. +3.5 means about 3.5¢ of value on every $1 contract. Bigger is better.
- Exchange vs sportsbook
- A sportsbook (DraftKings, FanDuel) sets the odds and takes the other side of your bet. An exchange (Kalshi, Polymarket) matches you with other traders at prices shown in cents.
- Yes / No
- Every Kalshi contract has two sides. Buying Yes on "Nets win" bets the Nets win; buying No bets they don't. So a big No on one team is really a bet on the other team.
- Sharp
- A bettor or trader with a long, proven record of winning, usually by betting before prices move. A casual bettor is called a square.
- Whale
- A trader placing a very large bet. We flag every single Kalshi trade of $2,500 or more on today's games.
- Example: $40K traded on the Nets at 52¢ = a whale backing the Nets.
Miami Heat
Sportsbook moneyline
| Exchange | Price | With fee |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | 30¢ | 31.5¢ |
| Polymarket ↗ | 30¢ | 31.5¢ |
| Novig ↗ | 29¢ | 29.0¢ |
| ProphetX | — | — |
Traded on Kalshi: $162K
Alert me at¢ or less
Golden State Warriors
Sportsbook moneyline
| Exchange | Price | With fee |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | 72¢ | 73.4¢ |
| Polymarket ↗ | 71¢ | 72.4¢ |
| Novig ↗ | 72¢ | 71.5¢ |
| ProphetX | — | — |
Traded on Kalshi: $283K
Alert me at¢ or less
Sportsbook lines
- Moneyline
- Miami Heat · Golden State Warriors
- Spread
- Golden State Warriors -7.5
- Total
- O/U 235.5
Bet the spread or total at Hard Rock ↗
Hard Rock Bet, where legal. 21+. Find the game there; a sportsbook has every spread and total.
Kalshi price today
$445K traded
12:20 AMMiami Heat 35¢ → 29¢Golden State Warriors 66¢ → 72¢fair price (sportsbooks)10:25 AM
Spread, total & prop gaps on Kalshi
2 gaps on this game. See them with Pro.
Kalshi whale trades
Single Kalshi bets of $2,500+ on this game, grouped by the team they back. To follow one, use that team's green button above.
Miami Heat0 · $0
Golden State Warriors2 · $93K
Injury report
- Gui Santos F · Golden State WarriorsOutSantos (knee) has been ruled out for Thursday's game against the Heat.
- Kristaps Porzingis C · Golden State WarriorsOutThe Warriors have stopped issuing salary payments to Porzingis, who remains away from the team and is considering retirement, Anthony Slater and Shams Charania of ESPN reported Wednesday.
- Moses Moody G · Golden State WarriorsOutMoody (knee) is progressing toward a potential return between December and January after rupturing his left patellar tendon in March, Anthony Slater of ESPN reports.
- Jimmy Butler III F · Golden State WarriorsOutButler (knee) could return sometime between January and February as he continues recovering from a torn right ACL, Anthony Slater of ESPN reports.
Prices refresh every few minutes; check the exchange before you buy. Not affiliated with any exchange or sportsbook. Not advice. 21+.